Cov neeg tau txais kev pom zoo ntawm cov ntim khoom noj biodegradable sib txawv heev nyob rau ntau thaj tsam. Hauv cov cheeb tsam tsim kev lag luam xws li Tuam Tshoj Sab Hnub Tuaj thiab Sab Qab Teb Suav, cov neeg siv khoom muaj kev paub txog ib puag ncig zoo, kev lees paub siab, thiab txaus siab them tus nqi rau cov khoom lag luam zoo ib puag ncig, ua qhov tseem ceeb ntawm cov khoom zoo thiab ib puag ncig.
Hauv cov cheeb tsam uas muaj kev txhawb nqa txoj cai muaj zog, kev lees paub yog qhov tseem ceeb tshaj. Piv txwv li, tom qab lub xeev Hainan txwv cov yas, cov neeg siv khoom hauv zos tau txais cov ntim khoom noj biodegradable mus txog ze li 100%; nyob rau hauv cov cheeb tsam nrog nruj ib puag ncig kev cai, xws li EU thiab US, kev paub txog cov neeg siv khoom thiab kev lees paub kuj yog siab dua.
Hauv cov cheeb tsam uas tsis muaj kev lag luam thiab cov cheeb tsam uas muaj kev paub txog ib puag ncig tsis muaj zog, kev lees txais cov neeg siv khoom xav tau kev txhim kho. Cov neeg tau txais kev pab hauv cov cheeb tsam no txhawj xeeb txog tus nqi thiab tsis tshua pom zoo rau ib puag ncig tus cwj pwm. Yog li ntawd, cov tswv yim sib txawv yuav tsum tau tsim los ntawm cov yam ntxwv hauv cheeb tsam thaum nce qib.
IV. Kev soj ntsuam ntawm Txoj Cai Pabcuam
4.1 Txoj Cai Trends hauv EU
EU yog tus thawj coj ntawm kev txhawb nqa kev tsim cov ntim khoom noj biodegradable, nrog rau zoo -tsim thiab nruj tswj hwm txoj cai. Hais txog cov se yas, European Commission tau thov thaum Lub Xya Hli 2025 kom nce cov se ntawm cov ntim yas tsis siv los ntawm € 0.8 ib kilogram mus rau € 1 ib kilogram hauv lub sijhawm ntev - pob nyiaj siv rau 2028-2034, nce 25%. Cov se no tau muab coj los siv rau xyoo 2021, thiab Spain tau pib them se cov yas uas tsis tau siv dua tshiab hauv cov ntim tsis tuaj yeem rov qab tau ntawm € 0.45 / kg thaum Lub Ib Hlis 2023, thaum Ltalis npaj yuav siv nws thaum Lub Ib Hlis 2027.
Carbon Ciam Teb Kho Mechanism (CBAM) yuav nthuav dav txij Lub Ib Hlis 2026 kom suav nrog 180 cov khoom lag luam hauv qab, suav nrog cov tshuab thiab tsheb, ntxiv rau cov hlau thiab txhuas. Txawm hais tias cov thawv ntim khoom noj tseem tsis tau suav nrog, cov cai yav tom ntej yuav suav nrog ntau pawg, ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov rau cov khoom noj khoom haus qib siab -carbon- tso tawm cov thawv ntim khoom noj thiab tau txais txiaj ntsig tsawg -carbon qab zib bagasse rau - mus ntim.
Hais txog kev txwv tsis pub siv cov yas ib zaug, EU's Single-Siv Plastics Directive (SUPD) txwv tsis pub cov tais diav yas tag nrho, teem lub hom phiaj rau txhua lub ntim yas kom rov ua dua lossis biodegradable los ntawm 2030. Cov kev hloov kho tshiab nthuav dav dav ntawm cov khoom siv biodegradable kom suav nrog cov khoom ntim yas rov qab los ntawm kev xav tau ntawm tag nrho cov ntaub ntawv yas, uas yuav tsum tau ua. 2025, thiab 55% ntawm cov khoom ntim yuav los ntawm cov khoom siv txuas ntxiv mus txog xyoo 2030. Lub teb chaws Yelemees, Fabkis, thiab lwm lub tebchaws kuj tau siv cov se ntim khoom, ua se rau ib puag ncig siab ntawm cov ntim uas tsis muaj -cov khoom siv biodegradable thiab muab VAT zam rau biodegradable ntim.
4.2 US Market Policy Ib puag ncig
US cov cai txwv cov yas yog siv nyob rau hauv lub xeev, qhia txog kev sib txawv thiab kev sib txawv. California, New York, thiab Washington xav kom muaj kev txwv tag nrho ntawm cov hnab yas ntim khoom ua ntej xyoo 2025, teem lub hom phiaj ntawm ntau dua 70% kev siv cov ntim khoom biodegradable hauv kev lag luam khoom noj khoom haus los ntawm 2030; Kalifonias txwv tsis pub siv cov khoom siv yas foamed hauv kev lag luam catering pib xyoo 2023, thiab New York lub hom phiaj yuav tshem tawm tag nrho ib leeg - siv cov khoom yas ua ntej 2025.
Nyob rau theem tseemfwv qib siab, Tebchaws Asmeskas txhawb nqa cov khoom siv yas los ntawm Sustainable Packaging Act thiab National Zero Waste Strategy. US Plastics Pact Roadmap 2.0 qhia meej lub hom phiaj ntawm kev txo cov yas yas los ntawm 30% los ntawm 2030, xav kom tag nrho cov ntim khoom siv rov ua dua tshiab, rov ua dua tshiab, los yog compostable.
Raws li cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj, Tebchaws Asmeskas siv ASTM D6400 raws li tus qauv kub rau cov yas compostable thiab qab zib bagasse tableware. "Compostable" cov khoom nyob rau hauv kev ua lag luam xav tau daim ntawv pov thawj BPI, uas, thaum nce kev nkag teb chaws, ua kom cov khoom zoo thiab pab tsim kom muaj kev ntseeg siab rau cov neeg siv khoom.
4.3 Tuam Tshoj Txoj Cai Tswj Kev Lag Luam
Tuam Tshoj tau tsim cov kev cai dav dav thiab nruj heev los txhawb kev tsim cov ntim khoom noj biodegradable. Lub "14th Tsib-Xyoo Plan" rau kev tswj cov pa phem yuav tsum tau hais tias los ntawm 2025, qhov kev siv tus nqi ntawm cov khoom uas tsis yog- biodegradable tableware nyob rau hauv catering thiab takeaway cov kev pab cuam nyob rau hauv lub nroog saum toj no lub prefecture yuav txo los ntawm 30%, thiab qhov nkag mus rau ntawm biodegradable tableware yuav mus txog 30%; Thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2025, kev siv cov khoom siv uas tsis yog- biodegradable ib zaug- siv cov tais diav yas yuav raug txwv tsis pub noj mov- hauv cov khw noj mov hauv txhua lub nroog saum toj kawg nkaus hauv lub xeev.
Raws li "dual carbon" cov hom phiaj, kev txhawb nqa txoj cai tau ntxiv dag zog ntxiv. Lub National Development thiab Reform Commission thiab Ministry of Ecology thiab Ib puag ncig yog txhawb kev tsim kom muaj kev sib koom ua ke hauv lub teb chaws ntawv pov thawj thiab cov ntawv sau npe rau cov khoom siv biodegradable. Xyoo 2023, Lub Xeev Kev Tswj Xyuas Kev Tswj Xyuas Kev Lag Luam, nrog rau Ministry of Industry thiab Information Technology, tau tshaj tawm "Catalog of Biodegradable Materials for Food Contact," qhia meej tias rau 6 hom ntaub ntawv, suav nrog PLA thiab PHA, tuaj yeem raug cai siv rau hauv daim ntawv thov kev sib cuag zaub mov.
Tsoom fwv hauv zos tab tom nquag tsim cov cai tshiab. Hainan tau ua raws li "Cov Cai Lij Choj Txog Kev Txwv Tsis Pub Siv Tsis Tau-Biodegradable Plastic Products hauv Hainan Special Economic Zone" thaum lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2020, tsim kom muaj ib lub koom haum ua tiav; Guangdong, Zhejiang, thiab lwm thaj chaw tau tsim cov nyiaj tshwj xeeb los txhawb kev txhim kho kev lag luam thev naus laus zis thiab muab 30% kev pab nyiaj rau cov tuam txhab siv cov khoom siv qab zib.
Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm tus nqi, tsoos yas tableware nqi tsuas yog 0.15 yuan/set, qis dua qab zib bagasse tableware (0.25 yuan/set) thiab PLA tableware (0.4 yuan/set), ua rau nws sib tw nyob rau hauv tus nqi-sensitive ciaj uas muag. Tsis tas li ntawd, nws cov txheej txheem tsim khoom, ua tiav cov saw hlau, thiab qib siab ntawm cov nplai txhawb nqa nws txoj haujlwm ua lag luam.
Txawm li cas los xij, cov thawv ntim khoom noj khoom haus niaj hnub ntsib teeb meem. Ntau tshaj 70 lub teb chaws thiab cheeb tsam thoob ntiaj teb tau ua raws li cov cai txwv cov yas, thiab lawv txoj kev lag luam tau poob qis. Nws tau kwv yees tias lawv feem hauv kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb cov khoom siv pov tseg yuav txo qis los ntawm 51% mus rau 18% -45% los ntawm 2030.
5.2 Kev sib tw toj roob hauv pes ntawm lwm yam khoom siv biodegradable
Hauv kev lag luam biodegradable ntim khoom noj khoom haus, qab zib bagasse rau - mus ntim khoom ntsib kev sib tw los ntawm ntau yam khoom. PLA (polylactic acid) yog cov neeg sib tw loj, nrog rau qhov kub thiab txias ntawm -10℃txog 80℃(tsis hloov kho) lossis -20℃txog 120℃(hloov), qhov ceev ntawm 1.25-1.28 g / cm³, thiab lub zog tensile ntawm 40-60 MPa. Txawm li cas los xij, tsis tau hloov kho PLA muaj qhov kub tsis sib haum ntawm tsuas yog 55 degree, yuav tsum muaj kev tsim cov chiv rau kev puas tsuaj, thiab tsim 1 tuj ntawm PLA siv 2.5 tons ntawm pob kws, sib tw nrog cov khoom noj khoom haus. Tsis tas li ntawd, nws cov nqi raw khoom yog 2.3 npaug ntawm cov qab zib pulp.
Cov thawv ntim khoom noj muaj cov khoom siv dav dav thiab cov nqi qis dua, nrog rau qhov nyuaj ntawm 2.1 GPa, lub zog flexural ntawm 5.8 MPa, thiab qhov ceev ntawm 0.4 g / cm³. Txawm li cas los xij, lawv muaj cov dej tsis zoo thiab cov roj tsis zoo, xav tau kev kho lamination, uas txo cov khoom siv rov ua dua tshiab, thiab muaj zog qis dua thiab yooj yim cuam tshuam los ntawm ya raws. Xyoob fiber ntau lub thawv muaj kev ua tau zoo, nrog lub hardness ntawm 4.0 GPa, flexural zog ntawm 12.0 MPa, thiab ceev ntawm 0.7 g / cm³. Lawv lub zog tensile thiab elastic modulus yog 2.43 npaug thiab 1.67 npaug ntawm PLA, feem. Lawv kuj muaj cov tshuaj tua kab mob ntuj tsim, ua rau muaj 40% ntau dua cov tshuaj tua kab mob piv rau cov khoom lag luam qab zib. Txawm li cas los xij, lawv cov nqi yog 15% -20% siab dua cov txiv kab ntxwv qaub, thiab lawv cov roj tsis muaj zog.
6.2 Qhov Tseem Ceeb Ua Tau Zoo thiab Kev Ntsuam Xyuas Kev pheej hmoo
Qhov Tseem Ceeb Ua Tau Zoo
Technological Innovation: Kev ua kom zoo dua qub ntawm cov txheej txheem tsim khoom, kev txhim kho cov qauv tsim khoom, thiab kev txhim kho ntawm cov tsos yog xav tau los txo cov nqi, nce kev ua tau zoo, thiab tsim lub hauv paus rau loj -scale saws.Production Capacity and Supply Chain: Accelerating capacity expansion; Suav tuam txhab uas muag 'expansion kev npaj ua kom cov khoom; tsim kom muaj kev ruaj ntseg raw khoom siv los xyuas kom meej cov khoom qab zib bagasse.
Kev Kawm Ua Lag Luam: Txhim kho kev tshaj tawm los txhim kho cov neeg siv khoom paub txog ib puag ncig tus nqi thiab kev ua tau zoo ntawm cov khoom qab zib bagasse mus rau - mus ntim khoom, txhawb kev siv dav hauv tus nqi- kev lag luam rhiab heev los ntawm tus nqi - kev ua tau zoo.
Kev Txhawb Txoj Cai: Cov teb chaws yuav tsum tau ua kom muaj zog rau kev ua raws li cov cai txwv cov yas thiab muab kev ntsuas kev txhawb nqa xws li kev txhawb nqa thiab kev txhawb nqa se.
Risks thiab Challenges
Raw Material Supply Risk: Sugarcane bagasse mov raug cuam tshuam los ntawm thaj chaw cog, kev nyab xeeb, thiab kev xav tau los ntawm kev lag luam qab zib, uas yuav ua rau cov khoom tsis txaus lossis cov nqi hloov pauv. Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb: Cov khoom siv biodegradable tshiab tuaj yeem tshwm sim nrog kev ua tau zoo dua thiab cov nqi qis dua, hloov qab zib bagasse mus rau - mus ntim. Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam: Qee lub teb chaws txwv kev txwv, xws li Asmeskas tau them 12% tariff rau biodegradable tableware los ntawm Tuam Tshoj, cuam tshuam rau kev nthuav dav thoob ntiaj teb. Consumer Habits Inertia: Cov neeg siv khoom tus cwj pwm ntawm kev siv cov thawv ntim khoom noj khoom haus yog qhov nyuaj rau kev hloov pauv thiab xav tau sijhawm rau kev taw qhia.
6.3 Kev kwv yees kev loj hlob yav tom ntej
2026-2027 (Lub Sij Hawm Loj Loj): Tsav los ntawm cov cai thiab kev lees paub ntawm cov neeg siv khoom, kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb yuav nce los ntawm 5% mus rau 8% -10%, nrog rau Tuam Tshoj mus txog 45% -50%. Lub peev xwm tsim khoom tshiab yuav tuaj hauv online, txhim kho kev muaj peev xwm. 2028-2029 (Lub Sijhawm Tshaj Tawm Kev Lag Luam): Kev tsim cov fwj ntim khoom yuav dhau los, cov nqi yuav txo qis, thiab kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb yuav ncav cuag 12% -15%, suav txog ntau dua 25% ntawm cov khoom noj khoom haus biodegradable.